Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 100336.884548 105724.852137 111106.754659 116882.433480 122901.601971 128985.992903 135597.535324
2025-09-28 91158.405589 99386.016051 107829.183128 117130.435432 127078.428046 137388.232246 148869.708057
2025-10-05 85814.203449 96095.404136 106870.339656 118982.600137 132196.199670 146151.207372 161980.635321
2025-10-12 81560.691030 93404.476327 106037.080391 120477.195294 136488.732031 153660.722331 173431.281616
2025-10-19 77669.993592 90726.824268 104869.974142 121274.567583 139722.674424 159771.520350 183150.110137
2025-10-26 73965.015722 87972.481830 103359.738906 121444.260935 142040.588251 164690.074097 191401.455780
2025-11-02 70927.078937 85768.668381 102282.886720 121926.200786 144555.525880 169706.772011 199670.517942
2025-11-09 67935.975413 83447.087209 100916.146537 121930.018889 146397.961741 173862.288341 206889.112616
2025-11-16 65957.071861 82188.932184 100673.192036 123137.146488 149547.967332 179458.383247 215730.597535
2025-11-23 63420.088535 80150.534853 99410.196783 123051.327215 151108.525940 183158.270941 222341.012518
2025-11-30 62049.968501 79432.722727 99641.223447 124671.951127 154630.694999 189117.930870 231587.125138
2025-12-07 60490.601093 78411.818322 99446.602231 125729.457138 157444.566834 194225.686689 239835.044853
2025-12-14 58505.078668 76819.767920 98528.251267 125895.984592 159195.414601 198105.598568 246694.501200
2025-12-21 56652.861818 75327.607916 97675.292512 126093.737572 160950.021288 201975.557771 253551.960385
2025-12-28 55806.429949 75049.978212 98277.749356 128046.158617 164821.590197 208387.026142 263485.886310
2026-01-04 54839.336853 74576.926965 98603.192189 129629.890459 168228.887294 214242.719069 272776.845581
2026-01-11 53578.915205 73682.715921 98362.554876 130475.744159 170705.161796 218962.091834 280702.781017
2026-01-18 52076.956144 72427.286899 97622.549396 130655.739165 172325.375926 222619.998238 287334.517510
2026-01-25 50806.913389 71430.056003 97171.901807 131167.354862 174335.255634 226745.741836 294547.505363
2026-02-01 49373.849364 70174.476102 96350.765980 131171.400045 175679.282018 230033.469829 300726.659196
2026-02-08 48571.800057 69724.322212 96542.495334 132452.852103 178628.507449 235318.300240 309405.648703
2026-02-15 47218.659972 68499.594089 95693.920298 132361.752763 179808.211255 238381.838121 315318.281012
2026-02-22 46689.434789 68362.449346 96250.023212 134081.963591 183303.663882 244362.840224 324916.447174